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Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur — Prediction

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · QF 11:00

Predicted probability

Murphy Cassone

USA

61.17%

Daniel Masur

Germany

38.83%

Average Odds

1.50  /  2.48

Market probability

62.31%  /  37.69%

Why This Prediction?

Murphy Cassone is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1706 vs 1646), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1698 vs 1658) and more aces per game (0.29 vs 0.25).

Player Comparison

1706.2 Elo 1646.4
1697.7 Elo (surface) 1658.2
85 Wins (Challenger) 223
77 Wins (surface) 142
9 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.906 Dominance ratio 1.034
318 Rank 406
24.1 Age 31.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murphy Cassone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murphy Cassone Daniel Masur

1st Serve In %

67.9%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%
70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%
44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%
26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%
47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.59
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.1%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murphy Cassone Daniel Masur

Break Points Saved %

51.9%
64.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%
40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%
55.6%

Break Points Converted %

56.2%
29.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murphy Cassone and Daniel Masur have never played each other.

Murphy Cassone — Last 10

W W W W L W L L W W

Daniel Masur — Last 10

W W W W L W W L W W