ATP tennis predict — Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Murphy Cassone

USA

46.56%

Clement Tabur

France

53.44%

Average Odds

1.90 / 1.82

Market probability

48.92% / 51.08%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1671.4 Elo 1717.6

1663.6 Elo (surface) 1715.4

83 Wins (Challenger) 93

75 Wins (surface) 31

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.906 Dominance ratio 0.990

318 Rank 160

24.1 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murphy Cassone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Clement Tabur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murphy Cassone Clement Tabur

1st Serve In %

67.9%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

56.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murphy Cassone Clement Tabur

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.7%

46.5%

Break Points Converted %

57.9%

28.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murphy Cassone 0 – 0 Clement Tabur

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-23

1. round

Murphy Cassone #318

Clement Tabur #160

7-6 4-6 6-3

6 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 8

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

39 First Serve Won 36

22 Second Serve Won 23

7 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur — Prediction