ATP tennis predict — Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Ryan Nijboer

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Bolivia

52.67%

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

47.33%

Average Odds

2.10 / 1.68

Market probability

44.44% / 55.56%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1561.6 Elo 1561.1

1570.0 Elo (surface) 1614.8

114 Wins (Challenger) 49

114 Wins (surface) 45

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.963 Dominance ratio 0.951

335 Rank 508

28.9 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Ryan Nijboer

1st Serve In %

69.5%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.2%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.1%

34.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Ryan Nijboer

Break Points Saved %

49.3%

68.6%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

51.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

44.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 0 – 0 Ryan Nijboer

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Ryan Nijboer #508

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco #335

6-2 6-1

1 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 2

43 Service Points 36

22 First Serve In 19

14 First Serve Won 17

4 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Ryan Nijboer — Prediction