ATP tennis predict — Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Juan Estevez

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Bolivia

47.77%

Juan Estevez

Argentina

52.23%

Average Odds

2.32 / 1.45

Market probability

38.46% / 61.54%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1530.3 Elo 1503.8

1546.8 Elo (surface) 1507.9

115 Wins (Challenger) 17

115 Wins (surface) 17

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.024 Dominance ratio 1.110

403 Rank 354

29.0 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Juan Estevez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Juan Estevez

1st Serve In %

69.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

57.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

70.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.1%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Juan Estevez

Break Points Saved %

49.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

47.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

37.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco and Juan Estevez have never played each other.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Juan Estevez — Prediction