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Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Hernan Casanova — Prediction

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Bolivia

51.18%

Hernan Casanova

Argentina

48.82%

Average Odds

2.88  /  1.37

Market probability

32.24%  /  67.76%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1528.8 Elo 1633.6
1545.5 Elo (surface) 1644.0
114 Wins (Challenger) 120
114 Wins (surface) 117
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 2
1.024 Dominance ratio 1.144
423 Rank 397
29.0 Age 32.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Hernan Casanova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Hernan Casanova

1st Serve In %

69.5%
70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.2%
56.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%
44.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%
31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%
52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%
69.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%
66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%
48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.1%
40.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%
49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Hernan Casanova

Break Points Saved %

49.3%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%
48.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%
57.8%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%
47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 0 – 2 Hernan Casanova

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco #423

Hernan Casanova #397

6-3 6-4
2 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 0
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
33 First Serve Won 29
11 Second Serve Won 4
4 Break Points Saved 4
5 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.9 Average Odds 1.4
Clay Santos CH · 2026-05-04

QF

Hernan Casanova #420

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco #317

6-2 6-0
0 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 7
45 Service Points 45
36 First Serve In 23
25 First Serve Won 12
5 Second Serve Won 6
1 Break Points Saved 4
1 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Concepcion CH · 2023-01-23

Q2

Hernan Casanova #263

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco #309

6-2 6-0
0 Aces 0
0 Double Faults 1
44 Service Points 44
33 First Serve In 33
23 First Serve Won 17
8 Second Serve Won 2
2 Break Points Saved 5
2 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco — Last 10

L W L L L L L W L W

Hernan Casanova — Last 10

L L L W W L W W W W