ATP tennis predict — Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Daniel Elahi Galan

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Bolivia

35.20%

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

64.80%

Average Odds

3.64 / 1.25

Market probability

25.56% / 74.44%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1669 vs 1572), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1664 vs 1581) and a stronger serve (67.8% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1571.7 Elo 1669.3

1580.8 Elo (surface) 1664.2

114 Wins (Challenger) 230

114 Wins (surface) 190

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.963 Dominance ratio 1.189

328 Rank 271

28.9 Age 30.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Daniel Elahi Galan

1st Serve In %

69.5%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.2%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.1%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Daniel Elahi Galan

Break Points Saved %

49.3%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

49.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 0 – 0 Daniel Elahi Galan

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-10

1. round

Daniel Elahi Galan #271

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco #328

6-4 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.6

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Daniel Elahi Galan — Prediction