ATP tennis predict — Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Adrian Andreev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Bolivia

53.02%

Adrian Andreev

Bulgaria

46.98%

Average Odds

2.79 / 1.34

Market probability

32.45% / 67.55%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1587.6 Elo 1539.7

1597.2 Elo (surface) 1543.3

114 Wins (Challenger) 114

114 Wins (surface) 73

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.969 Dominance ratio 0.769

328 Rank 1108

28.9 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Adrian Andreev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Adrian Andreev

1st Serve In %

69.5%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.2%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.1%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Adrian Andreev

Break Points Saved %

49.3%

44.4%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 0 – 0 Adrian Andreev

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Adrian Andreev #1108

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco #328

6-1 7-6

0 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 3

69 Service Points 85

40 First Serve In 48

25 First Serve Won 31

11 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 2.8

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Adrian Andreev — Prediction