ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Ryuki Matsuda

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 1. round 09:10

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

89.31%

Ryuki Matsuda

Japan

10.69%

Average Odds

1.10 / 6.21

Market probability

84.95% / 15.05%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1636 vs 1359), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1614 vs 1353) and a stronger return game (43.3% vs 33.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1636.3 Elo 1359.4

1614.2 Elo (surface) 1352.7

7 Wins (Challenger) 27

7 Wins (surface) 27

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 0.800

199 Rank 701

17.5 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ryuki Matsuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Ryuki Matsuda

1st Serve In %

59.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

68.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

20.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Ryuki Matsuda

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 0 – 0 Ryuki Matsuda

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Moise Kouame #199

Ryuki Matsuda #701

6-1 6-3

6 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

23 First Serve Won 18

12 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.2

Moise Kouame vs Ryuki Matsuda — Prediction