ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · R16 03:30

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

61.10%

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Argentina

38.90%

Average Odds

2.32 / 1.57

Market probability

40.36% / 59.64%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1538 vs 1484), a stronger serve (63.2% vs 60.8% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.14 vs 0.05).

Player Comparison

1566.4 Elo 1647.8

1538.4 Elo (surface) 1484.0

6 Wins (Challenger) 158

6 Wins (surface) 12

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.110 Dominance ratio 1.129

214 Rank 61

17.5 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Roman Andres Burruchaga

1st Serve In %

59.7%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Roman Andres Burruchaga

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

63.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 0 – 0 Roman Andres Burruchaga

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-21

R16

Moise Kouame #214

Roman Andres Burruchaga #61

6-2 6-2

3 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 4

47 Service Points 50

29 First Serve In 32

23 First Serve Won 16

11 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchaga — Prediction