ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · SF 07:30

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

58.75%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

41.25%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.09

Market probability

55.29% / 44.71%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (43.3% vs 33.1% of return points won) and more aces per game (0.22 vs 0.13).

Player Comparison

1685.1 Elo 1725.7

1673.9 Elo (surface) 1712.2

10 Wins (Challenger) 62

10 Wins (surface) 32

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 0.907

199 Rank 269

17.5 Age 21.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

1st Serve In %

59.7%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 0 – 0 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-19

SF

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #269

Moise Kouame #199

2-6 6-3 6-4

10 Aces 7

9 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 35

22 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 6

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Moise Kouame vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — Prediction