ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

50.64%

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

49.36%

Average Odds

1.86 / 1.89

Market probability

50.40% / 49.60%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1563.7 Elo 1700.8

1526.1 Elo (surface) 1476.4

5 Wins 34

3 Wins (surface) 27

5 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.853 Dominance ratio 0.956

200 Rank 163

17.5 Age 21.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Nishesh Basavareddy

1st Serve In %

59.7%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

63.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Nishesh Basavareddy

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

31.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 1 – 0 Nishesh Basavareddy

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Nishesh Basavareddy #163

Moise Kouame #200

7-6 4-6 6-3

12 Aces 8

10 Double Faults 8

95 Service Points 118

57 First Serve In 80

40 First Serve Won 57

18 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 10

43 Winners 41

35 Unforced Errors 34

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Lille CH · 2026-02-16

QF

Moise Kouame #507

Nishesh Basavareddy #192

6-3 6-3

5 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 6

71 Service Points 68

44 First Serve In 38

30 First Serve Won 29

15 Second Serve Won 9

8 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy — Prediction