ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

41.20%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Norway

58.80%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.66

Market probability

44.39% / 55.61%

Why This Prediction?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1737 vs 1624), a higher Elo rating (1754 vs 1664) and a stronger serve (63.0% vs 58.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1663.9 Elo 1753.8

1624.4 Elo (surface) 1737.4

11 Wins (Challenger) 56

11 Wins (surface) 35

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 0.975

201 Rank 152

17.6 Age 20.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

1st Serve In %

60.5%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

20.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

38.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

67.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer have never played each other.

Moise Kouame vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Prediction