ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Kenta Miyoshi

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 1. round 07:40

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

41.08%

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

58.92%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.43

Market probability

61.68% / 38.32%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1665 vs 1482), a higher Elo rating (1653 vs 1543) and a stronger serve (67.8% vs 61.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1543.4 Elo 1653.0

1482.1 Elo (surface) 1665.0

7 Wins (Challenger) 31

7 Wins (surface) 31

7 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.098 Dominance ratio 1.145

200 Rank -

17.5 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Kenta Miyoshi

1st Serve In %

59.7%

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Kenta Miyoshi

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 0 – 0 Kenta Miyoshi

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Kenta Miyoshi #-

Moise Kouame #200

4-6 6-4 7-5

1 Aces 13

9 Double Faults 2

91 Service Points 87

51 First Serve In 47

33 First Serve Won 31

19 Second Serve Won 21

3 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Moise Kouame vs Kenta Miyoshi — Prediction