ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Florent Bax

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · QF 06:30

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

73.67%

Florent Bax

France

26.33%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.24

Market probability

77.94% / 22.06%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1663 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1646 vs 1589) and better recent form (5 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1663.5 Elo 1580.3

1646.4 Elo (surface) 1588.5

9 Wins (Challenger) 41

9 Wins (surface) 27

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 0.832

199 Rank 308

17.5 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Florent Bax

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Florent Bax

1st Serve In %

59.7%

74.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

85.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Florent Bax

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 0 – 0 Florent Bax

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Moise Kouame #199

Florent Bax #308

6-4 6-2

3 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 8

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

17 First Serve Won 14

18 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Moise Kouame vs Florent Bax — Prediction