ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Filip Peliwo

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · R16 05:10

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

77.43%

Filip Peliwo

Poland

22.57%

Average Odds

1.06 / 8.28

Market probability

88.65% / 11.35%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1627 vs 1476), a higher Elo rating (1646 vs 1503) and more aces per game (0.22 vs 0.14).

Player Comparison

1646.1 Elo 1502.7

1626.5 Elo (surface) 1476.2

8 Wins (Challenger) 120

8 Wins (surface) 106

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 1.110

199 Rank 648

17.5 Age 32.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Filip Peliwo

1st Serve In %

59.7%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

40.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Filip Peliwo

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 0 – 0 Filip Peliwo

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Moise Kouame #199

Filip Peliwo #648

6-1 4-2

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 17

- Second Serve Won -

0 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 8.3

Moise Kouame vs Filip Peliwo — Prediction