ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 03:40

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

61.37%

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Brazil

38.63%

Average Odds

1.74 / 2.01

Market probability

53.60% / 46.40%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1507 vs 1451), a stronger serve (64.4% vs 57.1% of service points won) and a stronger return game (41.6% vs 31.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1525.6 Elo 1647.7

1507.3 Elo (surface) 1451.2

5 Wins (Challenger) 152

5 Wins (surface) 8

5 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.171 Dominance ratio 0.724

214 Rank 567

17.5 Age 28.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Felipe Meligeni Alves

1st Serve In %

59.7%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Felipe Meligeni Alves

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

30.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame 0 – 0 Felipe Meligeni Alves

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-20

1. round

Moise Kouame #214

Felipe Meligeni Alves #567

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 5

49 Service Points 63

31 First Serve In 33

20 First Serve Won 26

5 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Moise Kouame vs Felipe Meligeni Alves — Prediction