ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Diego Dedura Palomero

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

61.72%

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

38.28%

Average Odds

1.39 / 2.67

Market probability

65.76% / 34.24%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1605 vs 1470), the advantage of playing in his home country and more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1628.9 Elo 1730.2

1604.7 Elo (surface) 1470.1

10 Wins (Challenger) 49

10 Wins (surface) 5

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 1.018

201 Rank 190

17.6 Age 18.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Diego Dedura Palomero

1st Serve In %

60.5%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

68.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

40.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Diego Dedura Palomero

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

28.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame and Diego Dedura Palomero have never played each other.

Moise Kouame vs Diego Dedura Palomero — Prediction