ATP tennis predict — Moise Kouame vs Alexandre Muller

ATP Hard Chengdu · 1. round 08:30

Predicted probability

Moise Kouame

France

47.87%

Alexandre Muller

France

52.13%

Average Odds

1.82 / 1.97

Market probability

51.98% / 48.02%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1660.4 Elo 1773.0

1644.9 Elo (surface) 1752.7

5 Wins 93

3 Wins (surface) 50

5 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.858 Dominance ratio 1.108

191 Rank 135

17.6 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alexandre Muller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Alexandre Muller

1st Serve In %

59.7%

66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moise Kouame Alexandre Muller

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moise Kouame and Alexandre Muller have never played each other.

Moise Kouame vs Alexandre Muller — Prediction