ATP tennis predict — Moez Echargui vs Raul Brancaccio

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

52.74%

Raul Brancaccio

Italy

47.26%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.66

Market probability

65.52% / 34.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1661.9 Elo 1624.5

1637.7 Elo (surface) 1600.5

99 Wins (Challenger) 168

50 Wins (surface) 49

8 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.989 Dominance ratio 1.015

371 Rank 227

33.7 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–7L · 41.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Raul Brancaccio

1st Serve In %

65.1%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.5%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

57.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Raul Brancaccio

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moez Echargui 1 – 0 Raul Brancaccio

Hard Villena CH · 2025-09-29

R32

Moez Echargui #145

Raul Brancaccio #382

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 5

73 Service Points 63

38 First Serve In 41

26 First Serve Won 27

17 Second Serve Won 7

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Moez Echargui vs Raul Brancaccio — Prediction