ATP tennis predict — Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouame

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · QF 01:55

Predicted probability

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

26.04%

Moise Kouame

France

73.96%

Average Odds

2.74 / 1.42

Market probability

34.13% / 65.87%

Why This Prediction?

Moise Kouame is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1603 vs 1482), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1569 vs 1497) and a stronger return game (42.2% vs 35.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1482.5 Elo 1603.5

1497.3 Elo (surface) 1569.1

93 Wins (Challenger) 7

44 Wins (surface) 7

4 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.901 Dominance ratio 1.113

197 Rank 214

33.6 Age 17.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Moise Kouame

1st Serve In %

65.1%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Moise Kouame

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

62.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moez Echargui 0 – 0 Moise Kouame

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-22

QF

Moez Echargui #197

Moise Kouame #214

6-4 2-6 7-6

6 Aces 9

4 Double Faults 7

98 Service Points 111

53 First Serve In 63

32 First Serve Won 45

25 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouame — Prediction