ATP tennis predict — Moez Echargui vs Lloyd Harris

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

25.03%

Lloyd Harris

RSA

74.97%

Average Odds

2.89 / 1.38

Market probability

32.32% / 67.68%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1635 vs 1445), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1678 vs 1457) and a stronger serve (71.0% vs 59.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1445.4 Elo 1635.3

1457.3 Elo (surface) 1678.2

91 Wins (Challenger) 136

42 Wins (surface) 107

4 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.884 Dominance ratio 1.180

151 Rank 186

33.5 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Lloyd Harris

1st Serve In %

65.1%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

57.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.83

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Lloyd Harris

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

43.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

64.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moez Echargui 0 – 0 Lloyd Harris

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-20

1. round

Lloyd Harris #186

Moez Echargui #151

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 11

3 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 61

31 First Serve In 38

18 First Serve Won 32

18 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Moez Echargui vs Lloyd Harris — Prediction