ATP tennis predict — Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellien

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

42.50%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

57.50%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.48

Market probability

62.16% / 37.84%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1704 vs 1498), a stronger return game (39.0% vs 33.4% of return points won) and a stronger serve (63.1% vs 58.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1497.7 Elo 1703.7

1513.9 Elo (surface) 1401.7

14 Wins 95

7 Wins (surface) 13

5 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.797 Dominance ratio 1.058

225 Rank 140

33.6 Age 33.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

65.1%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

43.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moez Echargui 0 – 0 Hugo Dellien

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 1. round

Hugo Dellien #140

Moez Echargui #225

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 57

35 First Serve In 40

24 First Serve Won 30

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

12 Winners 10

22 Unforced Errors 13

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction