ATP tennis predict — Moez Echargui vs Daniil Glinka

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

37.78%

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

62.22%

Average Odds

2.01 / 1.70

Market probability

45.82% / 54.18%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Glinka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1716 vs 1654), a higher Elo rating (1717 vs 1674) and a stronger serve (65.2% vs 62.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1674.1 Elo 1717.1

1653.7 Elo (surface) 1715.7

100 Wins (Challenger) 83

51 Wins (surface) 77

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.989 Dominance ratio 1.159

356 Rank 178

33.7 Age 26.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–7L · 41.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Daniil Glinka

1st Serve In %

65.1%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.1%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Daniil Glinka

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moez Echargui and Daniil Glinka have never played each other.

Moez Echargui vs Daniil Glinka — Prediction