ATP tennis predict — Moez Echargui vs Daniel Masur

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

54.04%

Daniel Masur

Germany

45.96%

Average Odds

1.72 / 2.02

Market probability

54.01% / 45.99%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1669.6 Elo 1625.1

1647.1 Elo (surface) 1631.9

98 Wins (Challenger) 221

49 Wins (surface) 140

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.989 Dominance ratio 1.034

378 Rank 406

33.7 Age 31.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Daniel Masur

1st Serve In %

65.1%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

43.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Daniel Masur

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

30.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moez Echargui 0 – 0 Daniel Masur

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Daniel Masur #406

Moez Echargui #378

6-1 4-6 6-4

5 Aces 9

5 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

30 First Serve Won 41

23 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Moez Echargui vs Daniel Masur — Prediction