ATP tennis predict — Moez Echargui vs Billy Harris

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · R16 11:30

Predicted probability

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

39.31%

Billy Harris

Great Britain

60.69%

Average Odds

1.92 / 1.80

Market probability

48.39% / 51.61%

Why This Prediction?

Billy Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1715 vs 1645), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1644 vs 1613) and more wins on hard courts (86 vs 46).

Player Comparison

1644.5 Elo 1714.6

1612.5 Elo (surface) 1644.2

95 Wins (Challenger) 120

46 Wins (surface) 86

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.989 Dominance ratio 0.993

226 Rank 161

33.7 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Billy Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Billy Harris

1st Serve In %

65.1%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moez Echargui Billy Harris

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

53.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moez Echargui 0 – 0 Billy Harris

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Moez Echargui #226

Billy Harris #161

7-5 1-6 7-6

6 Aces 8

7 Double Faults 10

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

39 First Serve Won 34

16 Second Serve Won 20

11 Break Points Saved 9

20 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Moez Echargui vs Billy Harris — Prediction