ATP tennis predict — Moerani Bouzige vs Kenta Miyoshi

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 1. round 06:50

Predicted probability

Moerani Bouzige

Australia

21.56%

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

78.44%

Average Odds

4.50 / 1.18

Market probability

20.77% / 79.23%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1638 vs 1388), a higher Elo rating (1644 vs 1409) and a stronger serve (67.0% vs 62.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1409.2 Elo 1643.8

1388.5 Elo (surface) 1638.5

29 Wins (Challenger) 32

29 Wins (surface) 32

3 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.967 Dominance ratio 1.140

460 Rank -

27.2 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Moerani Bouzige

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-08.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moerani Bouzige Kenta Miyoshi

1st Serve In %

55.2%

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.76

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Moerani Bouzige Kenta Miyoshi

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

52.0%

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Moerani Bouzige 0 – 0 Kenta Miyoshi

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Kenta Miyoshi #-

Moerani Bouzige #438

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 9

7 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 30

16 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Moerani Bouzige vs Kenta Miyoshi — Prediction