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Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yerassyl Yerdilda — Prediction

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 07:05

Predicted probability

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Malaysia

82.71%

Yerassyl Yerdilda

Kazakhstan

17.29%

Average Odds

1.04  /  9.69

Market probability

90.31%  /  9.69%

Why This Prediction?

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1499 vs 1408), more career match wins (28 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating (1467 vs 1424).

Player Comparison

1467.2 Elo 1424.4
1499.0 Elo (surface) 1407.5
28 Wins (Challenger) 0
28 Wins (surface) 0
8 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.936 Dominance ratio 0.299
544 Rank -
22.0 Age 20.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Yerassyl Yerdilda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Yerassyl Yerdilda

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

70.1%
58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%
45.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%
32.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%
10.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%
40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.86

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Yerassyl Yerdilda

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%
23.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.6%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 00 Yerassyl Yerdilda

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong #544

Yerassyl Yerdilda #-

6-0 6-1
5 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 13
41 Service Points 50
19 First Serve In 28
15 First Serve Won 12
11 Second Serve Won 5
2 Break Points Saved 1
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.0 Average Odds 9.7

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W

Yerassyl Yerdilda — Last 3

L L L