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Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Ye Hongyu — Prediction

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Malaysia

87.26%

Ye Hongyu

China

12.74%

Average Odds

1.04  /  9.27

Market probability

89.91%  /  10.09%

Why This Prediction?

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1608 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1591 vs 1500) and more career match wins (36 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1590.9 Elo 1500
1607.6 Elo (surface) 1500
36 Wins (Challenger) 0
36 Wins (surface) 0
10 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.756 Dominance ratio 0.756
551 Rank -
22.1 Age 21.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Ye Hongyu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Ye Hongyu

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Ye Hongyu

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%
16.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 00 Ye Hongyu

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong #551

Ye Hongyu #-

6-0 6-1
3 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 1
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
17 First Serve Won 3
11 Second Serve Won 7
0 Break Points Saved 1
0 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.0 Average Odds 9.3

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W

Ye Hongyu — Last 1

L