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Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sergey Fomin — Prediction

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Malaysia

54.34%

Sergey Fomin

Uzbekistan

45.66%

Average Odds

1.97  /  1.76

Market probability

47.18%  /  52.82%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1616.0 Elo 1535.8
1631.6 Elo (surface) 1534.2
38 Wins (Challenger) 56
38 Wins (surface) 30
11 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.756 Dominance ratio 1.280
464 Rank 287
22.1 Age 25.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Sergey Fomin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Sergey Fomin

1st Serve In %

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.1%
55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%
71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%
56.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%
30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Sergey Fomin

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.6%
38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 00 Sergey Fomin

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-16
6-3 6-1
7 Aces 4
0 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
23 First Serve Won 22
10 Second Serve Won 3
1 Break Points Saved 1
1 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W

Sergey Fomin — Last 10

L L L L W W W L L L