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Mirza Basic vs Jiri Cizek — Prediction

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Mirza Basic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

74.87%

Jiri Cizek

Czech Republic

25.13%

Average Odds

1.21  /  3.96

Market probability

76.60%  /  23.40%

Why This Prediction?

Mirza Basic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1601 vs 1534), more career match wins (216 vs 2) and more wins on hard courts (152 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1565.9 Elo 1467.8
1600.5 Elo (surface) 1534.0
216 Wins (Challenger) 2
152 Wins (surface) 1
9 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.100 Dominance ratio 0.798
609 Rank 1358
35.1 Age 21.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mirza Basic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Jiri Cizek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mirza Basic Jiri Cizek

1st Serve In %

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%
52.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%
70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%
44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%
50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mirza Basic Jiri Cizek

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%
51.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%
55.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mirza Basic 00 Jiri Cizek

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Jiri Cizek #1358

Mirza Basic #712

6-4 1-1
4 Aces 7
1 Double Faults 3
32 Service Points 36
20 First Serve In 18
15 First Serve Won 18
10 Second Serve Won 8
1 Break Points Saved 2
2 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
4.0 Average Odds 1.2

Mirza Basic — Last 10

L L L W L W L L W L

Jiri Cizek — Last 9

L L W W L W L L L