ATP tennis predict — Mirza Basic vs Aleksander Blus

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Mirza Basic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

90.19%

Aleksander Blus

Poland

9.81%

Average Odds

1.07 / 7.40

Market probability

87.37% / 12.63%

Why This Prediction?

Mirza Basic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1592 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1559 vs 1456) and fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.33).

Player Comparison

1559.0 Elo 1456.4

1592.0 Elo (surface) 1500

215 Wins (Challenger) 0

151 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.073 Dominance ratio 0.546

609 Rank -

35.1 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mirza Basic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Aleksander Blus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mirza Basic Aleksander Blus

1st Serve In %

60.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

76.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

47.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

41.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

14.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.82

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mirza Basic Aleksander Blus

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mirza Basic 0 – 0 Aleksander Blus

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Mirza Basic #609

Aleksander Blus #-

6-3 6-2

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 8

55 Service Points 58

37 First Serve In 33

31 First Serve Won 22

9 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.4

Mirza Basic vs Aleksander Blus — Prediction