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Miomir Kecmanovic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Prediction

ATP Hard Chengdu · 1. round 08:30

Predicted probability

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

67.63%

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Georgia

32.37%

Average Odds

1.58  /  2.34

Market probability

59.69%  /  40.31%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1879 vs 1760), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1802 vs 1709) and a stronger return game (46.9% vs 35.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1878.5 Elo 1759.7
1801.9 Elo (surface) 1708.9
212 Wins 248
138 Wins (surface) 143
6 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.010 Dominance ratio 0.919
60 Rank 145
27.1 Age 34.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Nikoloz Basilashvili

1st Serve In %

58.1%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%
66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%
46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%
25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.64
0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%
51.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%
74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%
47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%
27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%
50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Nikoloz Basilashvili

Break Points Saved %

64.7%
60.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%
40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%
42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic 10 Nikoloz Basilashvili

Clay Munich · 2022-04-25
10 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 3
68 Service Points 64
45 First Serve In 37
29 First Serve Won 25
15 Second Serve Won 9
6 Break Points Saved 3
8 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Miomir Kecmanovic — Last 10

L L W L W L W L L W

Nikoloz Basilashvili — Last 10

W W L L L L W L L W