ATP tennis predict — Miomir Kecmanovic vs Michael Zheng

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

58.32%

Michael Zheng

USA

41.68%

Average Odds

2.17 / 1.68

Market probability

43.64% / 56.36%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1790 vs 1653), a stronger serve (65.7% vs 60.9% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (135 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1751.2 Elo 1744.1

1790.1 Elo (surface) 1652.8

209 Wins 13

135 Wins (surface) 8

5 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.021 Dominance ratio 1.006

62 Rank 113

26.9 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Michael Zheng

1st Serve In %

58.1%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Michael Zheng

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

69.2%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

43.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic 0 – 0 Michael Zheng

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Miomir Kecmanovic #62

Michael Zheng #113

6-4 4-6 7-6

7 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 8

110 Service Points 128

67 First Serve In 80

48 First Serve Won 54

19 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 11

8 Break Points Faced 15

31 Winners 30

30 Unforced Errors 33

2.2 Average Odds 1.7

Miomir Kecmanovic vs Michael Zheng — Prediction