ATP tennis predict — Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

25.00%

Jakub Mensik

Czech Republic

75.00%

Average Odds

3.48 / 1.30

Market probability

27.20% / 72.80%

Why This Prediction?

Jakub Mensik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1973 vs 1784), a higher Elo rating (2028 vs 1861) and a stronger serve (65.0% vs 61.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1861.4 Elo 2027.9

1783.9 Elo (surface) 1973.5

213 Wins 108

139 Wins (surface) 81

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.010 Dominance ratio 1.043

61 Rank 15

27.1 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–7L · 46.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jakub Mensik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–6L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Jakub Mensik

1st Serve In %

55.3%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.2%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.80

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Jakub Mensik

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

54.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic 0 – 2 Jakub Mensik

Hard Beijing · 2025-09-25

R32

Jakub Mensik #19

Miomir Kecmanovic #46

7-5 6-4

10 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 3

88 Service Points 75

41 First Serve In 41

31 First Serve Won 30

20 Second Serve Won 12

14 Break Points Saved 3

17 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Vienna · 2024-10-21

R16

Jakub Mensik #51

Miomir Kecmanovic #58

6-3 7-6(7)

23 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 5

78 Service Points 96

56 First Serve In 48

48 First Serve Won 35

9 Second Serve Won 25

4 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 8