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Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

65.77%

Flavio Cobolli

Italy

34.23%

Average Odds

2.02  /  1.79

Market probability

46.98%  /  53.02%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1790 vs 1605), more wins on hard courts (44 vs 20) and a stronger return game (46.9% vs 36.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1760.4 Elo 1781.7
1789.9 Elo (surface) 1604.9
211 Wins 130
137 Wins (surface) 63
7 Last 15 form 10
1 Head-to-head wins 2
0.967 Dominance ratio 1.155
62 Rank 9
27.0 Age 24.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Flavio Cobolli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Flavio Cobolli

1st Serve In %

58.1%
58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%
69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%
47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.64
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%
52.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%
67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%
51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%
30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%
48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Flavio Cobolli

Break Points Saved %

64.7%
59.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%
38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%
67.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%
32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic 1 – 2 Flavio Cobolli

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Flavio Cobolli #9

Miomir Kecmanovic #62

6-1 4-6 6-3
3 Aces 13
0 Double Faults 8
98 Service Points 80
58 First Serve In 39
32 First Serve Won 34
20 Second Serve Won 19
7 Break Points Saved 7
12 Break Points Faced 9
12 Winners 39
41 Unforced Errors 41
1.8 Average Odds 2.0
Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2026-03-04

R64

Flavio Cobolli #15

Miomir Kecmanovic #58

3-6 6-3 6-4
13 Aces 1
8 Double Faults 2
84 Service Points 86
43 First Serve In 45
33 First Serve Won 33
21 Second Serve Won 20
2 Break Points Saved 9
4 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Acapulco · 2026-02-23

SF

Flavio Cobolli #20

Miomir Kecmanovic #84

7-6(5) 3-6 6-4
13 Aces 7
3 Double Faults 2
95 Service Points 96
49 First Serve In 57
36 First Serve Won 42
23 Second Serve Won 21
4 Break Points Saved 4
8 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Naples · 2022-10-17

R32

Miomir Kecmanovic #30

Flavio Cobolli #167

6-1 6-2
1 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 2
40 Service Points 46
25 First Serve In 30
20 First Serve Won 18
13 Second Serve Won 4
0 Break Points Saved 1
0 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Miomir Kecmanovic — Last 10

L L W L W L W L L W

Flavio Cobolli — Last 10

L W W L W W W W L L