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Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknech — Prediction

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

65.50%

Arthur Rinderknech

France

34.50%

Average Odds

1.85  /  1.94

Market probability

51.19%  /  48.81%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1798 vs 1737), a higher Elo rating (1761 vs 1698) and a stronger return game (46.9% vs 33.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1761.1 Elo 1698.3
1797.7 Elo (surface) 1736.7
210 Wins 149
136 Wins (surface) 85
6 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 2
0.989 Dominance ratio 1.156
62 Rank 29
26.9 Age 31.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Arthur Rinderknech

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech

1st Serve In %

58.1%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%
75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%
47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%
22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.64
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%
61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%
78.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%
51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%
25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%
46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech

Break Points Saved %

64.7%
59.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%
35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%
73.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%
28.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic 12 Arthur Rinderknech

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05
6-7 6-4 6-4
3 Aces 21
7 Double Faults 9
110 Service Points 117
63 First Serve In 64
46 First Serve Won 50
22 Second Serve Won 24
7 Break Points Saved 12
11 Break Points Faced 14
29 Winners 52
40 Unforced Errors 57
1.9 Average Odds 1.9
Clay Geneva · 2025-05-18
4 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 0
52 Service Points 56
31 First Serve In 36
25 First Serve Won 23
13 Second Serve Won 10
0 Break Points Saved 6
0 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Us Open · 2021-08-30
6-7(10) 3-6 7-5 6-3 6-4
25 Aces 21
6 Double Faults 4
175 Service Points 165
113 First Serve In 95
86 First Serve Won 73
31 Second Serve Won 40
6 Break Points Saved 15
8 Break Points Faced 19
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Belgrade · 2021-04-19
1 Aces 10
3 Double Faults 0
75 Service Points 70
49 First Serve In 48
31 First Serve Won 29
18 Second Serve Won 9
2 Break Points Saved 2
6 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Miomir Kecmanovic — Last 10

L L W L W L W L L W

Arthur Rinderknech — Last 10

L W W L L W W L L W