ATP tennis predict — Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

60.81%

Alexander Shevchenko

Kazakhstan

39.19%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.92

Market probability

68.38% / 31.62%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1778 vs 1713), a higher Elo rating (1856 vs 1776) and a stronger return game (38.6% vs 35.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1855.7 Elo 1775.9

1777.8 Elo (surface) 1713.0

64 Wins (Challenger) 93

44 Wins (surface) 29

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.338 Dominance ratio 1.270

61 Rank 111

27.1 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–7L · 46.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexander Shevchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Alexander Shevchenko

1st Serve In %

54.0%

56.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

74.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

55.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.90

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

39.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Alexander Shevchenko

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

68.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic and Alexander Shevchenko have never played each other.

Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko — Prediction