ATP tennis predict — Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino

ATP Hard Beijing · qualification - round of 16 10:40

Predicted probability

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

66.04%

Adrian Mannarino

France

33.96%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.33

Market probability

59.90% / 40.10%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1865 vs 1821), a stronger return game (38.6% vs 35.3% of return points won) and a stronger serve (61.8% vs 60.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1865.0 Elo 1820.8

1786.7 Elo (surface) 1790.9

212 Wins 415

138 Wins (surface) 283

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 3

1.010 Dominance ratio 0.898

57 Rank 81

27.1 Age 38.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adrian Mannarino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Adrian Mannarino

1st Serve In %

56.9%

53.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Miomir Kecmanovic Adrian Mannarino

Break Points Saved %

67.5%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.9%

36.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic 0 – 3 Adrian Mannarino

Hard Miami Masters · 2021-03-22

R64

Adrian Mannarino #36

Miomir Kecmanovic #46

6-3 6-4

7 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 62

36 First Serve In 45

26 First Serve Won 28

16 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Australian Open · 2021-02-08

R64

Adrian Mannarino #36

Miomir Kecmanovic #41

6-1 6-2 6-4

10 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 2

75 Service Points 84

49 First Serve In 53

40 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 10

3 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Cologne 2 · 2020-10-19

R16

Adrian Mannarino #41

Miomir Kecmanovic #39

6-3 6-3

5 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

50 Service Points 70

31 First Serve In 44

28 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 9

5 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Miomir Kecmanovic — Last 10

Adrian Mannarino — Last 10