ATP tennis predict — Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Milos Karol

Slovakia

40.00%

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

60.00%

Average Odds

2.45 / 1.50

Market probability

37.97% / 62.03%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1629 vs 1531), a higher Elo rating (1638 vs 1568) and more wins on clay courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1567.7 Elo 1638.2

1531.4 Elo (surface) 1629.4

51 Wins (Challenger) 109

25 Wins (surface) 82

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.955 Dominance ratio 0.980

583 Rank 456

23.8 Age 26.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Milos Karol

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Milos Karol Oleksii Krutykh

1st Serve In %

—

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.4%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Milos Karol Oleksii Krutykh

Break Points Saved %

—

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Milos Karol and Oleksii Krutykh have never played each other.

Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh — Prediction