ATP tennis predict — Millen Hurrion vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Millen Hurrion

Great Britain

28.02%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Mexico

71.98%

Average Odds

1.86 / 1.83

Market probability

49.59% / 50.41%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1533 vs 1381), a higher Elo rating (1462 vs 1380) and more wins on hard courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1379.7 Elo 1462.1

1381.0 Elo (surface) 1533.1

4 Wins (Challenger) 33

4 Wins (surface) 17

4 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.090 Dominance ratio 0.832

665 Rank 498

27.1 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Millen Hurrion

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Millen Hurrion Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

1st Serve In %

—

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

58.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

42.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Millen Hurrion Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Break Points Saved %

—

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Millen Hurrion 0 – 0 Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Millen Hurrion #665

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano #498

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 5

59 Service Points 64

37 First Serve In 35

24 First Serve Won 22

12 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Millen Hurrion vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano — Prediction