ATP tennis predict — Millen Hurrion vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · 1. round 00:40

Predicted probability

Millen Hurrion

Great Britain

29.72%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

70.28%

Average Odds

4.28 / 1.20

Market probability

21.90% / 78.10%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Pinnington Jones is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1649 vs 1477), more wins on hard courts (32 vs 6) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1516 vs 1490).

Player Comparison

1477.5 Elo 1648.9

1490.1 Elo (surface) 1516.4

6 Wins (Challenger) 50

6 Wins (surface) 32

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.137 Dominance ratio 0.979

670 Rank 172

27.1 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Millen Hurrion

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Millen Hurrion Jack Pinnington Jones

1st Serve In %

—

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Millen Hurrion Jack Pinnington Jones

Break Points Saved %

—

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

40.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Millen Hurrion 0 – 0 Jack Pinnington Jones

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-05

1. round

Millen Hurrion #670

Jack Pinnington Jones #172

7-6 6-4

6 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 4

73 Service Points 79

40 First Serve In 48

33 First Serve Won 33

17 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.3 Average Odds 1.2

Millen Hurrion vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Prediction