ATP tennis predict — Mili Poljicak vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Mili Poljicak

Croatia

38.38%

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

61.62%

Average Odds

2.58 / 1.46

Market probability

36.14% / 63.86%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1634), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1742 vs 1650) and a stronger serve (65.7% vs 61.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1634.1 Elo 1732.9

1650.3 Elo (surface) 1741.6

51 Wins (Challenger) 69

49 Wins (surface) 27

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.070 Dominance ratio 1.147

266 Rank 136

22.2 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mili Poljicak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mili Poljicak Stefanos Sakellaridis

1st Serve In %

53.8%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.1%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mili Poljicak Stefanos Sakellaridis

Break Points Saved %

65.2%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

27.6%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.5%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mili Poljicak 0 – 0 Stefanos Sakellaridis

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Stefanos Sakellaridis #136

Mili Poljicak #266

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 1

52 Service Points 64

29 First Serve In 37

21 First Serve Won 26

11 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Mili Poljicak vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Prediction