ATP tennis predict — Mili Poljicak vs Patrick Schoen

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Mili Poljicak

Croatia

91.29%

Patrick Schoen

Switzerland

8.71%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.87

Market probability

67.53% / 32.47%

Why This Prediction?

Mili Poljicak is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1590 vs 1450), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1609 vs 1500) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.40).

Player Comparison

1590.3 Elo 1450.1

1609.3 Elo (surface) 1500

44 Wins (Challenger) 0

42 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.072 Dominance ratio 0.496

348 Rank 486

22.0 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mili Poljicak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Patrick Schoen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mili Poljicak Patrick Schoen

1st Serve In %

53.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.40

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.1%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

33.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mili Poljicak Patrick Schoen

Break Points Saved %

65.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

27.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.5%

70.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

36.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mili Poljicak 0 – 0 Patrick Schoen

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Mili Poljicak #356

Patrick Schoen #485

7-5 7-5

8 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 1

74 Service Points 76

42 First Serve In 44

34 First Serve Won 35

22 Second Serve Won 13

7 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Mili Poljicak vs Patrick Schoen — Prediction