ATP tennis predict — Mika Petkovic vs Vitaliy Sachko

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Mika Petkovic

Germany

36.11%

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

63.89%

Average Odds

2.42 / 1.47

Market probability

37.79% / 62.21%

Why This Prediction?

Vitaliy Sachko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1724 vs 1564), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1710 vs 1548) and a stronger return game (41.7% vs 37.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1564.3 Elo 1723.6

1548.4 Elo (surface) 1710.2

16 Wins (Challenger) 175

14 Wins (surface) 113

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.015 Dominance ratio 1.043

458 Rank 180

19.8 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–9L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Vitaliy Sachko

1st Serve In %

58.4%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.6%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Vitaliy Sachko

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

55.0%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Petkovic and Vitaliy Sachko have never played each other.

Mika Petkovic vs Vitaliy Sachko — Prediction