ATP tennis predict — Mika Petkovic vs Tiago Torres

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Mika Petkovic

Germany

36.56%

Tiago Torres

Portugal

63.44%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.75

Market probability

47.04% / 52.96%

Why This Prediction?

Tiago Torres is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1634 vs 1466), a higher Elo rating (1638 vs 1487) and a stronger return game (47.1% vs 31.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1486.8 Elo 1637.7

1465.8 Elo (surface) 1634.0

12 Wins (Challenger) 14

10 Wins (surface) 9

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.895 Dominance ratio 0.969

432 Rank 352

19.7 Age 24.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Tiago Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Tiago Torres

1st Serve In %

58.4%

54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

65.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.3%

52.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.2%

65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.9%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Tiago Torres

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.6%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

52.2%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Petkovic 0 – 0 Tiago Torres

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Mika Petkovic #432

Tiago Torres #352

4-6 7-5 7-5

2 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 3

104 Service Points 102

51 First Serve In 64

38 First Serve Won 39

25 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Mika Petkovic vs Tiago Torres — Prediction