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Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · QF 15:00

Predicted probability

Mika Petkovic

Germany

48.36%

Francesco Forti

Italy

51.64%

Average Odds

2.17  /  1.64

Market probability

43.04%  /  56.96%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1587.3 Elo 1658.6
1571.2 Elo (surface) 1657.5
16 Wins (Challenger) 101
14 Wins (surface) 83
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.015 Dominance ratio 1.048
458 Rank 357
19.7 Age 27.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–9L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–5L · 61.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Francesco Forti

1st Serve In %

58.4%
56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%
67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%
37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%
21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%
43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42
0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.6%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%
76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%
39.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%
53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.49
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Francesco Forti

Break Points Saved %

63.2%
40.0%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%
21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.1%
47.4%

Break Points Converted %

52.2%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Petkovic and Francesco Forti have never played each other.

Mika Petkovic — Last 10

W W L L L W L W L L

Francesco Forti — Last 10

W W L W L W W L W W