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Mika Petkovic vs Felix Gill — Prediction

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Mika Petkovic

Germany

43.68%

Felix Gill

Great Britain

56.32%

Average Odds

2.57  /  1.45

Market probability

36.07%  /  63.93%

Why This Prediction?

Felix Gill is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1614 vs 1502), a higher Elo rating (1629 vs 1523) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.20).

Player Comparison

1523.1 Elo 1628.7
1501.8 Elo (surface) 1613.9
14 Wins (Challenger) 53
12 Wins (surface) 36
6 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.015 Dominance ratio 0.985
432 Rank 214
19.7 Age 24.3
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Felix Gill

1st Serve In %

58.4%
64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%
57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%
24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%
43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.3%
61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.2%
71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%
50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.9%
28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%
55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Felix Gill

Break Points Saved %

63.2%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.6%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

52.2%
40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Petkovic 00 Felix Gill

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Felix Gill #213

Mika Petkovic #449

7-6 6-3
3 Aces 10
1 Double Faults 0
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
25 First Serve Won 41
17 Second Serve Won 14
0 Break Points Saved 3
1 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Mika Petkovic — Last 10

W L L L W L W L L L

Felix Gill — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L L