ATP tennis predict — Mika Petkovic vs Daniel Salazar Martinez

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Mika Petkovic

Germany

81.80%

Daniel Salazar Martinez

Colombia

18.20%

Average Odds

1.16 / 4.31

Market probability

78.79% / 21.21%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Petkovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1512 vs 1351), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1498 vs 1371) and more career match wins (13 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1512.2 Elo 1351.1

1497.6 Elo (surface) 1371.1

13 Wins (Challenger) 6

11 Wins (surface) 6

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.978 Dominance ratio 0.988

432 Rank 713

19.7 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Daniel Salazar Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Daniel Salazar Martinez

1st Serve In %

58.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.3%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.2%

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.9%

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Petkovic Daniel Salazar Martinez

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.6%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

52.2%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Petkovic 0 – 0 Daniel Salazar Martinez

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Mika Petkovic #432

Daniel Salazar Martinez #713

6-2 6-2

2 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

47 Service Points 44

20 First Serve In 15

19 First Serve Won 5

15 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.3

Mika Petkovic vs Daniel Salazar Martinez — Prediction