ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Patrick Zahraj

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

72.93%

Patrick Zahraj

Germany

27.07%

Average Odds

1.35 / 3.01

Market probability

69.04% / 30.96%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1542 vs 1377), a higher Elo rating (1594 vs 1499) and more wins on clay courts (33 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1594.0 Elo 1498.9

1542.4 Elo (surface) 1377.0

60 Wins (Challenger) 48

33 Wins (surface) 2

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.874 Dominance ratio 0.983

423 Rank 413

21.9 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Patrick Zahraj

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Patrick Zahraj

1st Serve In %

62.3%

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Patrick Zahraj

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 0 – 1 Patrick Zahraj

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Mika Brunold #423

Patrick Zahraj #413

7-6 6-1

4 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 8

64 Service Points 79

47 First Serve In 52

32 First Serve Won 29

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Hard Pau CH · 2025-02-17

Q2

Patrick Zahraj #445

Mika Brunold #310

4-6 6-2 6-1

5 Aces 6

7 Double Faults 5

71 Service Points 79

48 First Serve In 53

39 First Serve Won 35

10 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Mika Brunold vs Patrick Zahraj — Prediction