ATP tennis predict — Mika Brunold vs Miguel Damas

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

61.71%

Miguel Damas

Spain

38.29%

Average Odds

2.11 / 1.67

Market probability

44.18% / 55.82%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1575 vs 1526), a stronger serve (65.0% vs 60.9% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.16 vs 0.08).

Player Comparison

1575.4 Elo 1525.9

1510.7 Elo (surface) 1562.4

58 Wins (Challenger) 64

31 Wins (surface) 52

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 3

1.214 Dominance ratio 1.100

415 Rank 286

21.8 Age 26.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Miguel Damas

1st Serve In %

62.3%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

53.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mika Brunold Miguel Damas

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

46.9%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold 0 – 3 Miguel Damas

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Mika Brunold #410

Miguel Damas #316

6-3 4-0

0 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 40

46 First Serve In 27

21 First Serve Won 21

8 Second Serve Won 7

5 Break Points Saved 5

9 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Mika Brunold #415

Miguel Damas #286

6-1 6-0

1 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 0

51 Service Points 37

25 First Serve In 23

8 First Serve Won 16

13 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Mauthausen CH · 2026-04-27

R16

Miguel Damas #271

Mika Brunold #383

6-3 6-1

1 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

47 Service Points 63

28 First Serve In 43

17 First Serve Won 19

13 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Rome CH · 2026-04-20

Q1

Miguel Damas #271

Mika Brunold #383

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

45 Service Points 61

27 First Serve In 41

17 First Serve Won 16

9 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Targu Mures 2 CH · 2025-09-16

R16

Miguel Damas #363

Mika Brunold #314

6-3 6-1

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 3

43 Service Points 56

29 First Serve In 39

24 First Serve Won 23

10 Second Serve Won 4

3 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Mika Brunold vs Miguel Damas — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Mika Brunold — Last 10

Miguel Damas — Last 10